Hardback
The Handbook of Technology Foresight
Concepts and Practice
9781845425869 Edward Elgar Publishing
In this comprehensive and critical Handbook, cross-cutting analytical chapters explore the emergence and positioning of foresight, common approaches and methods, organisational issues, and the scope for policy transfer and evaluation. Leading experts and practitioners contribute chapters analysing experiences in France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the USA, Japan, China, Latin America, small European nations, Nordic countries and selected developing countries. The book concludes with consideration of the future of foresight itself.
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Critical Acclaim
Contributors
Contents
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Foresight has emerged as a key instrument for the development and implementation of research and innovation policy. The main focus of activity has been at the national level. Governments have sought to set priorities, to build networks between science and industry and, in some cases, to change their research system and administrative culture. Foresight has been used as a set of technical tools, or as a way to encourage more structured debate with wider participation leading to the shared understanding of long-term issues.
In this comprehensive and critical Handbook, cross-cutting analytical chapters explore the emergence and positioning of foresight, common approaches and methods, organisational issues, and the scope for policy transfer and evaluation. Leading experts and practitioners contribute chapters analysing experiences in France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the USA, Japan, China, Latin America, small European nations, Nordic countries and selected developing countries. The book concludes with consideration of the future of foresight itself.
This fascinating Handbook will appeal equally to those wishing to apply foresight to their policy or strategy-making activities, and to those studying the theory and practice of foresight. The Handbook will be vital reading for policymakers considering, commissioning, or using foresight, companies eager to use public foresight, as well as academics and researchers in foresight, futures and STI policy and management communities.
In this comprehensive and critical Handbook, cross-cutting analytical chapters explore the emergence and positioning of foresight, common approaches and methods, organisational issues, and the scope for policy transfer and evaluation. Leading experts and practitioners contribute chapters analysing experiences in France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the USA, Japan, China, Latin America, small European nations, Nordic countries and selected developing countries. The book concludes with consideration of the future of foresight itself.
This fascinating Handbook will appeal equally to those wishing to apply foresight to their policy or strategy-making activities, and to those studying the theory and practice of foresight. The Handbook will be vital reading for policymakers considering, commissioning, or using foresight, companies eager to use public foresight, as well as academics and researchers in foresight, futures and STI policy and management communities.
Critical Acclaim
‘Edited by five scholars active in foresight practice, the book opens with a critical review that defines and distinguishes foresight from other types of futures studies, alongside an excellent history of the field and a detailed summary of more than 30 methodologies. . . Those considering a foresight exercise will find this book a valuable compendium that offers lessons to be learnt, and help in choosing goals, selecting methods and identifying successes and failures. Scholars will find a rich survey of current practice, methodological approaches and tensions in the field. . . The Handbook of Technology Foresight provides an important survey of current knowledge that will help governments use foresight to navigate these tumultuous times.’
– Robert Lempert, Nature
‘This is a book that the policy-maker will want to read, in order to understand what benefits foresight exercises could bring. . . In all we have a breathtaking 400 pages of the techniques and experience of using technology foresight in practical situations.’
– Simon Forge, Foresight
– Robert Lempert, Nature
‘This is a book that the policy-maker will want to read, in order to understand what benefits foresight exercises could bring. . . In all we have a breathtaking 400 pages of the techniques and experience of using technology foresight in practical situations.’
– Simon Forge, Foresight
Contributors
Contributors: W.B. Ashton, R. Barré, J. Cassingena Harper, P. Crehan, K. Cuhls, A. Eerola, L. Georghiou, A. Havas, B. Holst Jørgensen, R. Johnston, M. Keenan, T. Kuwahara, J. Medina, I. Miles, R. Popper, A. Porter, C. Sripaipan
Contents
Contents:
Preface
PART I: THE NATURE OF FORESIGHT
1. The Many Faces of Foresight
Ian Miles, Jennifer Cassingena Harper, Luke Georghiou, Michael Keenan and Rafael Popper
2. From Futures to Foresight
Ian Miles
3. Foresight Methodology
Rafael Popper
PART II: FORESIGHT EXPERIENCE AROUND THE WORLD
4. Foresight in the United Kingdom
Michael Keenan and Ian Miles
5. Foresight in France
Rémi Barré
6. Foresight in Germany
Kerstin Cuhls
7. Foresight in the USA
Alan L. Porter and W. Bradford Ashton
8. Foresight in Japan
Terutaka Kuwahara, Kerstin Cuhls and Luke Georghiou
9. Foresight in Nordic Countries
Annele Eerola and Birte Holst Jørgensen
10. Foresight in Smaller Countries
Patrick Crehan and Jennifer Cassingena Harper
11. Foresight in Industrialising Asia
Ron Johnston and Chatri Sripaipan
12. Foresight in Latin America
Rafael Popper and Javier Medina
13. Foresight in CEE Countries
Attila Havas and Michael Keenan
PART III: POLICY AND MANAGEMENT ISSUES IN FORESIGHT
14. Policy Transfer and Learning
Luke Georghiou and Jennifer Cassingena Harper
15. Scoping and Planning Foresight
Michael Keenan and Ian Miles
16. Evaluation and Impact of Foresight
Luke Georghiou and Michael Keenan
17. New Frontiers: Emerging Foresight
Ian Miles, Jennifer Cassingena Harper, Luke Georghiou, Michael Keenan and Rafael Popper
Index
Preface
PART I: THE NATURE OF FORESIGHT
1. The Many Faces of Foresight
Ian Miles, Jennifer Cassingena Harper, Luke Georghiou, Michael Keenan and Rafael Popper
2. From Futures to Foresight
Ian Miles
3. Foresight Methodology
Rafael Popper
PART II: FORESIGHT EXPERIENCE AROUND THE WORLD
4. Foresight in the United Kingdom
Michael Keenan and Ian Miles
5. Foresight in France
Rémi Barré
6. Foresight in Germany
Kerstin Cuhls
7. Foresight in the USA
Alan L. Porter and W. Bradford Ashton
8. Foresight in Japan
Terutaka Kuwahara, Kerstin Cuhls and Luke Georghiou
9. Foresight in Nordic Countries
Annele Eerola and Birte Holst Jørgensen
10. Foresight in Smaller Countries
Patrick Crehan and Jennifer Cassingena Harper
11. Foresight in Industrialising Asia
Ron Johnston and Chatri Sripaipan
12. Foresight in Latin America
Rafael Popper and Javier Medina
13. Foresight in CEE Countries
Attila Havas and Michael Keenan
PART III: POLICY AND MANAGEMENT ISSUES IN FORESIGHT
14. Policy Transfer and Learning
Luke Georghiou and Jennifer Cassingena Harper
15. Scoping and Planning Foresight
Michael Keenan and Ian Miles
16. Evaluation and Impact of Foresight
Luke Georghiou and Michael Keenan
17. New Frontiers: Emerging Foresight
Ian Miles, Jennifer Cassingena Harper, Luke Georghiou, Michael Keenan and Rafael Popper
Index