Hardback

Monetary Strategies for Joining the Euro

9781843766896 Edward Elgar Publishing
Edited by György Szapáry, Deputy Governor, Magyar Nemzeti Bank, Hungary and Jürgen von Hagen, Professor of Economics, University of Bonn, Germany, Indiana University, US and CEPR
Publication Date: 2004 ISBN: 978 1 84376 689 6 Extent: 240 pp
In this book, well-known economists and policymakers look at the next step in the integration process for accession countries: accession to European Monetary Union (EMU). They debate which monetary and exchange rate strategies are optimal during the run-up to EMU, and consider the conflict that may arise in trying to meet both the exchange rate stability and the Maastricht inflation criteria. The impossible trinity between monetary independence, exchange rate stability and free capital flows is also addressed, as is the question of the effects of structural changes on the real exchange rate. Estimates of the ‘Balassa–Samuelson effect’ on five of the new member states, and the experiences of Portugal and Greece in their run-up to EMU are discussed, and lessons for the economic policies of the new EU member states are illustrated.

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The ten countries joining the EU in 2004 will soon be forced to focus on the next big challenge of integration: their adoption of the euro.

In this book, well-known economists and policymakers look at the next step in the integration process for accession countries: accession to European Monetary Union (EMU). They debate which monetary and exchange rate strategies are optimal during the run-up to EMU, and consider the conflict that may arise in trying to meet both the exchange rate stability and the Maastricht inflation criteria. The impossible trinity between monetary independence, exchange rate stability and free capital flows is also addressed, as is the question of the effects of structural changes on the real exchange rate. Estimates of the ‘Balassa–Samuelson effect’ on five of the new member states, and the experiences of Portugal and Greece in their run-up to EMU are discussed, and lessons for the economic policies of the new EU member states are illustrated.

The distinguished list of contributors have published extensively in the relevant fields making Monetary Strategies for Joining the Euro a must-read for policymakers and economists interested in European studies. It will also be welcomed by those with an interest in the process of European integration.
Critical Acclaim
‘This book is a welcome addition to a controversial topic, and a good buy to any serious library.’
– László Csaba, Acta Oeconomica

‘Now that EU enlargement to the east is a fact, the challenge ahead is how to smooth the accession economies’ adoption of the euro. This is not an issue that has exactly benefited from an abundance of clear thinking. Here the volume by Szapáry and von Hagen is a beam of light. If clear analysis is a prelude to consensus, then we have new reason to hope that a sensible policy consensus will follow in short order.’
– Barry Eichengreen, University of California, Berkeley, US
Contributors
Contributors: J. Braga de Macedo, W. Buiter, L. Campos e Cunha, J.-P. Cotis, F. De Fiore, P. De Grauwe, G. Fagan, N.C. Garganas, V. Gaspar, A. Inotai, O. Issing, Z. Járai, M.A. Kovács, A. Pereira, H. Reisen, P. Silva, P. Solbes, J. Stark, G. Szapáry, J. von Hagen, J. Zhou
Contents
Contents: Foreword Introduction and Summary 1. Challenges Faced by the Accession Countries 2. Some Thoughts on Monetary Strategy 3. Exchange Rate Policies on the Last Stretch 4. Disentangling the Balassa–Samuelson Effect in CEC5 Countries in the Prospect of EMU Enlargement 5. Float in Order to Fix? Lessons from Emerging Markets for New EU Member Countries 6. Portugal and the EMU: 1996–2001, the Crucial Years 7. Macroeconomic Adjustment to Structural Change Index
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