Hardback
Environmental Assessments
Scenarios, Modelling and Policy
9781788976862 Edward Elgar Publishing
In this authoritative book, leading international experts examine the use of scenario analyses and modelling in environmental assessments. Including chapters with a global or regional focus as well as in-depth case studies from Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, North and South America, contributors analyse the latest research on the applications of scenarios and models and explore the opportunities and challenges in using them for policy relevant research and action.
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Critical Acclaim
Contributors
Contents
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In this authoritative book, leading international experts examine the use of scenario analyses and modelling in environmental assessments, highlighting their potential uses in making evidence-based decisions to address the risks and adverse impacts of rapid environmental change such as global warming and the loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services.
In addition to theoretical and conceptual issues, contributors analyse the latest research on the applications of scenarios and models, and discuss the opportunities and challenges in using them for policy relevant research and action. Chapters include in-depth case studies from Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, North and South America as well as those with a global or regional focus, providing a comprehensive review of the available tools and frameworks for conducting environmental assessments in diverse contexts. This book offers a roadmap for strengthening the science–policy interface for environmental decision-making.
Environmental Assessments will be crucial reading for scholars, postgraduate students, practitioners and policy makers working in ecological economics and ecology, biodiversity and ecosystem services, climate change and natural resources. It will be particularly useful for those working for international and intergovernmental agencies, national governments, businesses and NGOs looking to make informed decisions about responses to environmental change.
In addition to theoretical and conceptual issues, contributors analyse the latest research on the applications of scenarios and models, and discuss the opportunities and challenges in using them for policy relevant research and action. Chapters include in-depth case studies from Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, North and South America as well as those with a global or regional focus, providing a comprehensive review of the available tools and frameworks for conducting environmental assessments in diverse contexts. This book offers a roadmap for strengthening the science–policy interface for environmental decision-making.
Environmental Assessments will be crucial reading for scholars, postgraduate students, practitioners and policy makers working in ecological economics and ecology, biodiversity and ecosystem services, climate change and natural resources. It will be particularly useful for those working for international and intergovernmental agencies, national governments, businesses and NGOs looking to make informed decisions about responses to environmental change.
Critical Acclaim
‘This book is an important contribution to research on environmental models, providing a comprehensive overview of the literature on building scenarios and how these can contribute in decision-making to reduce risks to planetary health and human well-being.’
– Purnamita Dasgupta, Ecology, Economy and Society
‘This is an excellent collection of the latest state-of-the-art work on environmental scenario analysis and long-term modelling from within the social sciences. It provides essential conceptual, methodological and empirical insights to anyone working on understanding the long-term and complex causes and implications of environmental problems.’
– Andreas Kontoleon, University of Cambridge, UK
‘One of the less obvious benefits of international assessments is spin-off books on topics flagged in the assessments. This book picks up on several issues identified in the IPBES methodological assessment of biodiversity scenarios and models. Aside from a very useful set of chapters on methodology, it includes a number of applications to marine, freshwater, terrestrial, and urban systems. Dr Ninan is to be congratulated for bringing together such an interesting and informative collection.’
– Charles Perrings, Arizona State University, US
‘As we move deeper into the Anthropocene, the need deepens for assessments of the complex interactions between man and his environment. This book is a big step towards filling this gap. It provides interesting assessments on a row of important topics from seafoods to forestry, management of invasive species to climate and fisheries or municipal planning. The book draws extensively on good expertise from a range of important countries, including many in the developing world. Strongly recommended reading for everyone interested in ecosystems and global change.’
– Thomas Sterner, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
– Purnamita Dasgupta, Ecology, Economy and Society
‘This is an excellent collection of the latest state-of-the-art work on environmental scenario analysis and long-term modelling from within the social sciences. It provides essential conceptual, methodological and empirical insights to anyone working on understanding the long-term and complex causes and implications of environmental problems.’
– Andreas Kontoleon, University of Cambridge, UK
‘One of the less obvious benefits of international assessments is spin-off books on topics flagged in the assessments. This book picks up on several issues identified in the IPBES methodological assessment of biodiversity scenarios and models. Aside from a very useful set of chapters on methodology, it includes a number of applications to marine, freshwater, terrestrial, and urban systems. Dr Ninan is to be congratulated for bringing together such an interesting and informative collection.’
– Charles Perrings, Arizona State University, US
‘As we move deeper into the Anthropocene, the need deepens for assessments of the complex interactions between man and his environment. This book is a big step towards filling this gap. It provides interesting assessments on a row of important topics from seafoods to forestry, management of invasive species to climate and fisheries or municipal planning. The book draws extensively on good expertise from a range of important countries, including many in the developing world. Strongly recommended reading for everyone interested in ecosystems and global change.’
– Thomas Sterner, University of Gothenburg, Sweden
Contributors
Contributors: R. Aggarwal, S. Anderson, B.A. Auld, R. Avtar, R.B. Thapa, L.G. Barioni, F. Beaudoin, L. Caughman, W.W.L. Cheung, R. Costanza, M. Crim, R. De Oliveira Silva, A. Ghermandi, K. Hubacek, S.B. Johnson, S. Joseph, I. Kubiszewski, V.W.Y. Lam, A. Larigauderie, R. Molowny-Horas, D. Moran, S.A. Moses, K.N. Ninan, R. Pichs-Madruga, N. Plemmons, L.F. Prieg, F. Ravera, I.M.D. Rosa, J. Sendzimir, V. Shandas, M. Sinclair, U.R. Sumaila, P. Sutton, D. Tarrasón, L.S.L. Teh, C.A. Tisdell, D. Yumashev
Contents
Contents:
Foreword Anne Larigauderie
Preface
1 Introduction 1
K.N. Ninan
PART I THEORETICAL AND CONCEPTUAL ISSUES
2 Developing national scale integrated social-ecological
scenarios for Canada’s oceans and marine fisheries 37
Louise S.L. Teh, William W.L. Cheung and U. Rashid Sumaila
3 Improving estimates of the economic effects of climate change
in integrated assessment models 51
Lydia F. Prieg and Dmitry Yumashev
4 Monitoring and projecting land use and land cover change at
multiple spatial scales 68
Isabel M.D. Rosa
PART II APPLICATIONS AND CASE STUDIES
5 The future value of ecosystem services: global scenarios and
national implications 81
Ida Kubiszewski, Robert Costanza, Sharolyn Anderson and
Paul Sutton
6 Models and strategies for prioritizing the control of invasive
exotic weeds in protected areas: theoretical and pragmatic
challenges 109
Clement A. Tisdell, Bruce A. Auld and Stephen B. Johnson
7 Modelling the role of livestock intensification and
deforestation in Brazil’s nationally determined contribution on
emissions mitigation
126
Rafael De Oliveira Silva, Luis Gustavo Barioni and Dominic
Moran
8 Spatial modelling and BAU scenario analysis of Cambodian
forest 143
Ram Avtar, Ridhika Aggarwal and Rajesh Bahadur Thapa
9 Climate change and British Columbia’s staple seafood supply
and prices 162
U. Rashid Sumaila and Vicky W.Y. Lam
10 Key socio-economic drivers for environmental change in Latin
America and the Caribbean since 1960: trends, interactions
and impacts 179
Ramón Pichs-Madruga
11 Ecosystem service assessment and mapping for sustainable
management of wetlands in Kerala, India 200
Michael Sinclair, Andrea Ghermandi, Sheela A. Moses and
Sabu Joseph
12 The Scenario Collaboratory: a framework for integrating
environmental assessments and scenarios into municipal
planning 215
Liliana Caughman, Noel Plemmons, Fletcher Beaudoin,
Michele Crim and Vivek Shandas
13 Participatory modelling in adaptive environmental
management: a case study in semi-arid northern Nicaragua 231
Federica Ravera, David Tarrasón, Klaus Hubacek, Roberto
Molowny-Horas and Jan Sendzimir
Index 249
Foreword Anne Larigauderie
Preface
1 Introduction 1
K.N. Ninan
PART I THEORETICAL AND CONCEPTUAL ISSUES
2 Developing national scale integrated social-ecological
scenarios for Canada’s oceans and marine fisheries 37
Louise S.L. Teh, William W.L. Cheung and U. Rashid Sumaila
3 Improving estimates of the economic effects of climate change
in integrated assessment models 51
Lydia F. Prieg and Dmitry Yumashev
4 Monitoring and projecting land use and land cover change at
multiple spatial scales 68
Isabel M.D. Rosa
PART II APPLICATIONS AND CASE STUDIES
5 The future value of ecosystem services: global scenarios and
national implications 81
Ida Kubiszewski, Robert Costanza, Sharolyn Anderson and
Paul Sutton
6 Models and strategies for prioritizing the control of invasive
exotic weeds in protected areas: theoretical and pragmatic
challenges 109
Clement A. Tisdell, Bruce A. Auld and Stephen B. Johnson
7 Modelling the role of livestock intensification and
deforestation in Brazil’s nationally determined contribution on
emissions mitigation
126
Rafael De Oliveira Silva, Luis Gustavo Barioni and Dominic
Moran
8 Spatial modelling and BAU scenario analysis of Cambodian
forest 143
Ram Avtar, Ridhika Aggarwal and Rajesh Bahadur Thapa
9 Climate change and British Columbia’s staple seafood supply
and prices 162
U. Rashid Sumaila and Vicky W.Y. Lam
10 Key socio-economic drivers for environmental change in Latin
America and the Caribbean since 1960: trends, interactions
and impacts 179
Ramón Pichs-Madruga
11 Ecosystem service assessment and mapping for sustainable
management of wetlands in Kerala, India 200
Michael Sinclair, Andrea Ghermandi, Sheela A. Moses and
Sabu Joseph
12 The Scenario Collaboratory: a framework for integrating
environmental assessments and scenarios into municipal
planning 215
Liliana Caughman, Noel Plemmons, Fletcher Beaudoin,
Michele Crim and Vivek Shandas
13 Participatory modelling in adaptive environmental
management: a case study in semi-arid northern Nicaragua 231
Federica Ravera, David Tarrasón, Klaus Hubacek, Roberto
Molowny-Horas and Jan Sendzimir
Index 249
